Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000598 0.000686 0.000780 0.000888 0.001006 0.001133 0.001278
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000447 0.000566 0.000703 0.000869 0.001064 0.001286 0.001555
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000376 0.000509 0.000668 0.000870 0.001119 0.001410 0.001774
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000325 0.000467 0.000645 0.000880 0.001178 0.001538 0.002000
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000274 0.000416 0.000603 0.000858 0.001191 0.001605 0.002149
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000231 0.000371 0.000562 0.000832 0.001195 0.001657 0.002279
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000203 0.000343 0.000541 0.000830 0.001227 0.001743 0.002450
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000180 0.000320 0.000523 0.000828 0.001258 0.001828 0.002621
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000157 0.000294 0.000500 0.000817 0.001274 0.001891 0.002764
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000136 0.000269 0.000475 0.000800 0.001280 0.001939 0.002885
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000126 0.000260 0.000473 0.000818 0.001335 0.002055 0.003101
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000117 0.000250 0.000469 0.000831 0.001383 0.002163 0.003309
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000102 0.000230 0.000447 0.000815 0.001389 0.002211 0.003437
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000088 0.000209 0.000424 0.000796 0.001388 0.002250 0.003552
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000198 0.000414 0.000798 0.001418 0.002335 0.003733
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000190 0.000409 0.000807 0.001460 0.002435 0.003939
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000173 0.000388 0.000786 0.001453 0.002464 0.004040
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000157 0.000365 0.000762 0.001439 0.002481 0.004125
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000148 0.000356 0.000760 0.001460 0.002551 0.004288
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000140 0.000347 0.000759 0.001483 0.002623 0.004455
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.000130 0.000334 0.000748 0.001489 0.002670 0.004585
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000120 0.000319 0.000732 0.001485 0.002699 0.004689
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.000117 0.000320 0.000749 0.001537 0.002819 0.004933